Civil war in Iraq
Civil war in Iraq is exactly what the current US administration secretly wants, and here’s why I think so:
Shock and Awe works only on an established physical infrastructure, which terrorists do not have.
Civil war would divide Iraq into 3 factions, but 4 entities: Kurds, Sunis, Shiite and, within each of the 3, a sub-set of al-Qaeda, looking for a terrorist sponsored state (one of the 3). The al-Qaeda entities would become mafia-like, in that they would focus on creating insurgencies with in each group, acting as paid militia, where payment would be concessions, protection and power in the winning side, which may be the weakest side: which I’d figure is the Kurd faction.
In this scenario, the US would have the excuse to have a finger in each of the factions, in attempt to flush out al-Qaeda.
The factions would be desperate for arms, supplied by the US in trade for oil, land for military bases, US political/international clout (in regard to allowing Russia and/or China to supply arms to a faction, and reaping concessions from them, whether economic or pressure against another State, such as Iran or N. Korea).
These factions would create the “old fashion” bad guy for the US: any “terrorist” group would band together, organize, create bases or visible cells, which would make easer targets for the way the US prefers to conduct war.
Decades from now, (whatever al-Qaeda becomes, a huge infrastructure, with it’s own government, or a fizzled out idea, having succumbed to capitalistic gains brought by selling oil within their new state) the US will have a single target.
So, let them have their way in Iraq. Pull the US troops out. Al-Qaeda would be too busy fighting for their own independent state, such as the Taliban had, to be crashing planes into big buildings in the US. Once their state becomes established is the time for starting a new war against terror. And in the mean time, the US gets oil, sells weapons, and persuades China and Russia to see things the US way at the UN Security Counsel.
You say “You’re full of it, man”?
Well if it makes you happy, but read this first:
Old States, New Threats by Robert D. Kaplan
Shock and Awe works only on an established physical infrastructure, which terrorists do not have.
Civil war would divide Iraq into 3 factions, but 4 entities: Kurds, Sunis, Shiite and, within each of the 3, a sub-set of al-Qaeda, looking for a terrorist sponsored state (one of the 3). The al-Qaeda entities would become mafia-like, in that they would focus on creating insurgencies with in each group, acting as paid militia, where payment would be concessions, protection and power in the winning side, which may be the weakest side: which I’d figure is the Kurd faction.
In this scenario, the US would have the excuse to have a finger in each of the factions, in attempt to flush out al-Qaeda.
The factions would be desperate for arms, supplied by the US in trade for oil, land for military bases, US political/international clout (in regard to allowing Russia and/or China to supply arms to a faction, and reaping concessions from them, whether economic or pressure against another State, such as Iran or N. Korea).
These factions would create the “old fashion” bad guy for the US: any “terrorist” group would band together, organize, create bases or visible cells, which would make easer targets for the way the US prefers to conduct war.
Decades from now, (whatever al-Qaeda becomes, a huge infrastructure, with it’s own government, or a fizzled out idea, having succumbed to capitalistic gains brought by selling oil within their new state) the US will have a single target.
So, let them have their way in Iraq. Pull the US troops out. Al-Qaeda would be too busy fighting for their own independent state, such as the Taliban had, to be crashing planes into big buildings in the US. Once their state becomes established is the time for starting a new war against terror. And in the mean time, the US gets oil, sells weapons, and persuades China and Russia to see things the US way at the UN Security Counsel.
You say “You’re full of it, man”?
Well if it makes you happy, but read this first:
Old States, New Threats by Robert D. Kaplan
posted by Hodge E. at 4/27/2006 12:53:00 PM
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